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Looking ahead in world food and agriculture : perspectives to 2050 Cover Image Book Book

Looking ahead in world food and agriculture : perspectives to 2050 / edited by Piero Conforti.

Conforti, Piero. (Added Author). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. (Added Author). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Agricultural and Development Economics Division. (Added Author).

Record details

  • ISBN: 9789251069035
  • ISBN: 9251069034
  • Physical Description: xviii, 539 p. : col. ill. ; 24 cm.
  • Publisher: Rome : Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2011.

Content descriptions

General Note:
"Agricultural Development Economic Division, Economic and Social Development Department"--Cover.
Bibliography, etc. Note:
Includes bibliographical references.

Search for related items by subject

Subject: Food supply.
Food supply > Forecasting.
Agricultural productivity.
Agricultural productivity > Forecasting.

Available copies

  • 1 of 1 copy available at Legislative Library.

Holds

  • 0 current holds with 1 total copy.
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Location Call Number / Copy Notes Barcode Shelving Location Holdable? Status Due Date
Legislative Library, Vaughan Street HD 9000.5 Loo (Text) 36970000861387 General Collection Volume hold Available -
► Summaries & More
▼ Additional Content
Foreword iii
About the authors xi
Acknowledgements xiii
Acronyms xv
Introduction 1(10)
Piero Conforti
Part I The Global Agriculture Outlook
1 World food and agriculture to 2030/2050 revisited. Highlights and views four years later
11(46)
Nikos Alexandratos
Interim report projections and reality checks
14(15)
Biofuels: significance for the long-term outlook
29(8)
Food consumption and nutrition in developing countries
37(7)
Conclusions
44(3)
Annex 1.1: Cereal production in developing countries
47(1)
Annex 1.2: World agriculture: towards 2030/2050 - interim report: excerpt from Chapter 1- Overview
48(9)
2 World agriculture in a dynamically changing environment: IFPRI's long-term outlook for food and agriculture
57(38)
Siwa Msangi
Mark Rosegrant
Drivers of change in food systems
59(9)
Quantitative outlook to 2050
68(7)
The role of biofuels
75(10)
Implications for food security
85(3)
Conclusions
88(7)
3 How can climate change and the development of bioenergy alter the long-term outlook for food and agriculture?
95(64)
Günther Fischer
Methodology and data
96(2)
Baseline assessment
98(7)
Climate change impacts on crop suitability and production potential
105(7)
Impacts of climate change on world food system indicators
112(4)
Impacts of biofuel expansion on world food system indicators
116(9)
Impacts of first-generation biofuel expansion on food system indicators
125(12)
Second-generation biofuels
137(5)
Combined impacts of climate change and expansion of biofuel production on world food system indicators
142(4)
Conclusions
146(5)
Annex 3.1: The modelling framework
151(3)
Annex 3.2: Aggregation of world food system components to world regions
154(5)
Part II Growth, Poverty And Macroeconomic Prospects
4 Poverty, growth and inequality over the next 50 years
159(32)
Evan Hillebrand
Poverty measurement
160(4)
Explaining changes in poverty, 1981 to 2005
164(5)
Forecasting economic growth
169(2)
Forecasting poverty and inequality
171(2)
The market first scenario
173(3)
How might distribution shifts affect future poverty headcounts?
176(6)
The trend growth scenario
182(4)
Conclusions
186(5)
5 Macroeconomic environment and commodity markets: a longer-term outlook
191(42)
Dominique van der Mensbrugghe
Israel Osorio-Rodarte
Andrew Burns
John Baffes
The nature of the recent commodity boom
192(7)
The energy/non-energy price link
199(4)
The macroeconomic environment
203(6)
Climate change
209(5)
Poverty implications
214(10)
Conclusions
224(4)
Annex 5.1: The model used for climate change simulations
228(5)
Part III Land, Water And Capital Requirements
6 The resources outlook: by how much do land, water and crop yields need to increase by 2050?
233(46)
Jelle Bruinsma
How much more needs to be produced?
235(3)
What are the sources of growth in crop production?
238(4)
By how much does the arable land area need to increase?
242(1)
How much land is there with crop production potential?
242(9)
How much more water will be required in irrigation?
251(10)
By how much do crop yields need to rise?
261(10)
Summary and conclusions
271(5)
Annex 6.1: Countries included in the analysis
276(2)
Annex 6.2: Crops included in the analysis
278(1)
7 Investment in developing countries' food and agriculture: assessing agricultural capital stocks and their impact on productivity
279(38)
Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel
Gustavo Anriquez
Hartwig de Haen
Oleg Nivyevskyi
Approaches to measuring investment and agricultural capital stock
281(6)
Results: development of the agricultural capital stock since 1975
287(16)
Agricultural capital stock and productivity
303(10)
Conclusions
313(4)
8 Capital requirements for agriculture in developing countries to 2050
317(30)
Josef Schmidhuber
Jelle Bruinsma
Gerold Boedeker
Methodology and measurement
318(5)
The results
323(4)
Performance indicators for agricultural production, capital stocks, labour and land
327(11)
Summary and conclusions
338(4)
Annex 8.1: Countries included in the analysis
342(1)
Annex 8.2: Cumulative investment requirements for 2005/2007 to 2050, by region (billion 2009 USD)
343(4)
Part IV Raising Productivity: Research And Technology
9 Setting meaningful investment targets in agricultural research and development: challenges, opportunities and fiscal realities
347(42)
Nienke Beintema
Howard Elliott
Trends in agricultural R&D investments
348(9)
Three definitions of underinvestment in agricultural R&D
357(6)
Analysing the agricultural research intensity ratio
363(13)
Challenges and essential investments
376(5)
Concluding remarks
381(8)
10 Can technology deliver on the yield challenge to 2050?
389(76)
Tony R. Fischer
Derek Byerlee
Gregory Owen Edmeades
Defining key concepts
392(5)
Setting the scene: recent trends and the challenge to 2050
397(8)
Sources of yield gains in the breadbaskets
405(11)
Closing existing yield gaps
416(6)
Increasing yield potential
422(15)
Prices, efficiency, productivity and R&D investment
437(10)
Conclusions
447(18)
Conclusions
11 Critical evaluation of selected projections
465(44)
Nikos Alexandratos
Prices and quantities in the baseline scenarios
466(6)
Climate change impact on agriculture
472(12)
Impact of biofuels
484(10)
Demography, growth, inequality and poverty
494(6)
Sub-Saharan africa
500(9)
12 Challenges and policies for the world agricultural and food economy in the 2050 perspective
509
Piero Conforti
Alexander Sarris
Challenges and opportunities
510(6)
Can data and analyses be improved?
516(4)
Policy directions
520(16)
Areas for future policy and analytical focus
536

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